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This paper examines methods for structural interpretation of vector autoregressions when the identifying information is regarded as imperfect or incomplete. We suggest that a Bayesian approach offers a unifying theme for guiding inference in such settings. Among other advantages, the unified approach solves a problem with calculating elasticities that appears not to have been recognized by earlier researchers. We also call attention to some computational concerns of which researchers who approach this problem using other methods should be aware. Measuring the Credit Gap , coauthored with Daniel Leff. We revisit the analysis by Drehmann and Yetman and conclude that measuring the credit gap based on the 5-year growth rate of the credit-to-GDP ratio produces a more reliable and robust predictor of financial crises than does the Hodrick-Prescott filtered series.
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Kenneth R. Chien - Wikipedia

The solid Earth the mantle and crust is made of rock. You may have noticed that there are many kinds of rocks, from the soft sandy rocks that form the cliffs at Scripps beach to the hard rocks that form the mountains to the East of San Diego. Geologists have developed a way of classifying the various rocks and understand fairly well where they come from and where they go. There are three general types of rocks , those that form from melt igneous rocks , those that are deposited from air or water sedimentary rocks , and those that have formed by "cooking" or otherwise altering another rock metamorphic rocks. Sedimentary rocks form by breaking down other kinds of rocks into small particles and washing or blowing them away; metamorphic rocks form from other rocks and igneous rocks form by melting other rocks. Thus rocks are always changing form and are redistributted as part of a giant cycle of renewal. This cycle is called the Rock Cycle.
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Kenneth R. Chien

The virus quickly spread beyond Hubei. Chinese authorities cordoned off the region and implemented mitigation measures nationwide. By April , local transmission of the virus was under control but by then COVID was already a pandemic, with more than countries reporting cases.
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Nathan Fletcher born December 31, is an American politician, and educator who served two terms in the California State Assembly. Fletcher was born and spent the early years of his life in Carson City, Nevada. His parents divorced when he was two years old, and his mother Sherrie moved with him to Smackover, Arkansas. There she met and married Danny Farley, who worked at an International Paper factory.
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